Arvid Bell


Program Leader, Davis Center Negotiation Task Force


Arvid Bell is a scholar and entrepreneur who specializes in negotiation analysis, complex conflicts, and international security. He is a Fellow at the Davis Center for Russian and Eurasian Studies at Harvard University where he leads the Negotiation Task Force, an Associate Fellow at Peace Research Institute Frankfurt (PRIF), an expert with the Conflict Analytics Lab at Queen's University, and Partner at Negotiation Design & Strategy (NDS), a U.S.-based training, advisory, and research development group.

U.S., EU, and German foreign policy; Afghanistan; Central Asia; complex conflict systems; negotiation analysis and strategy; dynamic simulation design
Current Project
Davis Center Negotiation Task Force
Foreign Language


, Public Policy
, Harvard Kennedy School
Selected Publications

Bell, Arvid and Brian Mandell (2018). "Cognitive Maelstroms, Nested Negotiation Networks, and Cascading Decision Effects: Modeling and Teaching Negotiation Complexity with Systemic Multi-Constituency Exercises," Negotiation Journal, 34 (1), pp. 37-67.

Bell, Arvid, Ed. (2017). Perspectives in Post-Soviet Conflict: The 2017 Davis Center Negotiation Task Force Research Report, Davis Center for Russian and Eurasian Studies, Cambridge, MA.

Eileen Babbitt, Arvid Bell, Alain Lempereur, Brian Mandell, and Dana Wolf (2017). The MENA Negotiation Report: Negotiating Conflict in the Middle East and North Africa. A System Analysis after the Arab Spring, the Iran Nuclear Deal, and the Rise of ISIS, Harvard Kennedy School Negotiation Project, Cambridge, MA.

Bell, Arvid (2015). Afghanistan and Central Asia in 2015. An Overview of Actors, Interests, and Relationships, PRIF Reports, No. 132 (2015), Frankfurt, ISBN 978-3-942532-87-7.

Bell, Arvid (2014). "The Roadblock of Contested Recognition: Identity-based Justice Claims as an Obstacle to Peace Negotiations in Afghanistan," International Negotiation, 19 (3), pp. 518-542.