Azov Sea: A Winter War?

Tuesday, December 4, 2018 - 4:30pm to 6:00pm
Sea of Azov

CGIS South Building, 1730 Cambridge Street, Belfer Case Study Room (S020)

“I don’t want anyone to think this is fun and games. Ukraine is under threat of full-scale war with Russia.” —Petr Poroshenko, President of Ukraine

“Ukraine holds very bad cards in this crisis…and on Sunday they showed clearly that they don’t really hold any real cards at all. Ukraine’s actions have been inevitably hysterical and provocative because they have no other options… In general, this is peripheral problem for Russia.. not worth a war.” —Oleg Barabanov, Moscow-based analyst

On November 25, Russia accused three Ukrainian vessels of violating Russian territorial waters as they crossed the Kerch straits under the newly built Russian bridge to Crimea. Ukraine called the attack an “act of aggression” and parliament approved a 30-day martial law in territories bordering the Sea of Azov and Russia. The UN secretary general has urged for “maximum restraint” even as Russia has detained the Ukrainian sailors.

Will there be a Winter War in the Sea of Azov? This panel will discuss the underlying reasons for Russian aggression, and how the situation is likely to develop.


Timothy Colton (Harvard University)
Dmitry Gorenburg (CNA)
Oxana Shevel (Tufts University)

Co-sponsored by the Davis Center for Russian and Eurasian Studies and the Harvard Ukrainian Research Institute. 

For more information, please call 617-495-4037.